CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$FRMI
financials · convergence -16 · conviction AVOID
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Why $FRMI?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-25.8M (-310.3% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 6 convergent signals fired: earnings, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods
Risks
Insider planned sale (Form 144) : <b>Filed:</b> 2026-11-04 <b>AccNo:</b> 0001958244-26-000694 <b>Size:</b> 9 KB 2026-11-04
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
HYFM via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
LCII via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
ARIS via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 22)
MUR via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 19)
Signals Firing
earnings fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +9.7% +7.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +9.7% +7.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers -2.6% -6.1% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging -2.6% -6.1% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_gappers +4.7% +4.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.7% +4.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers +1.6% +0.7% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.6% +0.7% —
Lifetime: 4/8 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket HYFM via consumer · score 8 LCII via consumer · score 8 AEI via real_estate · score 1 OPEN via real_estate · score 1 ARIS via materials · score 22 MUR via materials · score 19
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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