CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-12
$FVR
financials · convergence -16 · conviction AVOID
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Why $FVR?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $18.0M (+257.0% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $1.2M (+142.5% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 9 convergent signals fired: sc13d, xbrl_ni, fed_overlay, audit_extras, sector_overlay
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-16 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
BWEN via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 4)
RETO via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 4)
WEX via industrials r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 14)
KBR via industrials r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 12)
YETI via consumer r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 19)
QXO via consumer r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 5)
Signals Firing
sc13d xbrl_ni fed_overlay audit_extras sector_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-19 sec_clean_gappers +4.1% +3.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_gappers +4.1% +3.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.1% +3.8% ✓ hit 2026-09-30 sec_clean_gappers +0.9% -1.9% — 2026-09-30 sec_top_gappers +0.9% -1.9% — 2026-09-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.9% -1.9% — 2026-09-15 sec_top_gappers +0.7% -3.1% — 2026-09-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.7% -3.1% — 2026-09-14 sec_top_gappers +0.9% -0.2% — 2026-09-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.9% -0.2% —
Lifetime: 3/10 wins · hit-rate 30.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket BWEN via materials · score 4 RETO via materials · score 4 WEX via industrials · score 14 KBR via industrials · score 12 YETI via consumer · score 19 QXO via consumer · score 5
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