What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for GOLD?

As of 2026-09-18, GOLD has a convergence score of 2 with conviction tier WATCH and 7 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is GOLD's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on GOLD?

On the last 6 published picks featuring GOLD, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (33% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · GOLD

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$GOLD

gold · convergence 2 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/6

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Why $GOLD?

GOLD 2 WATCH gold

Quantitative

Convergence score: 2 (7 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Corporate action: special_dividend 2026-09-03

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (2 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, gold-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

AEM via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 15)
WPM via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
NEM via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 10)
IAU via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 9)
GLD via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 8)
FNV via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 7)

Finance Desk Verdict

Independent agent review — valuation, statement audit, and earnings read on the latest filing.

Valuation: unclearAudit: cautionDesk score: 22/100

Auditor-change 8-K on a zero-moat wholesale precious-metals company — EX-16.1 is the gating document and its contents are unknown; do not size until that letter is read and going-concern status is confirmed clean.

Bull case: Auditor change is routine housekeeping (e.g., firm merger, fee dispute); EX-16.1 contains no disagreements; EX-99.1 discloses a positive operational development; company is a leveraged beneficiary of precious-metals tailwinds; stock has already pulled back ~9% from the Sep 9 high, offering a reset entry if fundamentals confirm.

Bear case: Auditor change signals internal control weakness or a going-concern qualification the company wanted to escape; zero moat in a commodity wholesale business with no news, no analyst coverage, and no event/sector tags from the scanner; the Sep 3–4 volume spike (2.27M shares, abnormal) preceded the filing period by 10 days, raising the possibility of leaked information or front-running; ticker-symbol confusion with Barrick Gold inflates retail attention without underlying merit; no financials available to anchor any valuation.

Signals Firing

sec_cryptoauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

8-K2026-09-18T12:13:35-04:00View on EDGAR →
8-K2026-09-18T12:06:40-04:00View on EDGAR →

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-15	sec_top_gappers	+1.3%	-2.1%	—
2026-09-15	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.3%	-2.1%	—
2026-09-11	sec_top_gappers	+0.5%	-1.9%	—
2026-09-11	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.5%	-1.9%	—
2026-09-10	sec_top_gappers	+6.9%	+5.1%	✓ hit
2026-09-10	sec_top_moat_emerging	+6.9%	+5.1%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 2/6 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

AEMvia gold · score 15
WPMvia gold · score 14
NEMvia gold · score 10
IAUvia gold · score 9
GLDvia gold · score 8
FNVvia gold · score 7

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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