What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for HAL?

As of 2026-11-05, HAL has a convergence score of -10 with conviction tier AVOID and 7 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is HAL's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on HAL?

On the last 12 published picks featuring HAL, 3 hit the +2% intraday threshold (25% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · HAL

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$HAL

materials · convergence -10 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-10

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

3/12

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Why $HAL?

HAL -10 AVOID materials

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $534.0M (+13.1% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: finra_short, sc13d, finra_regsho, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Auditor change / restatement: valuation_allowance on

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

TAP via staples r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 9)
CHSN via staples r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 5)
VCTR via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 19)
FCPT via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 15)
HYFM via consumer r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 8)
LCII via consumer r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 8)

Signals Firing

finra_shortsc13dfinra_regshoaudit_extrasauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-29	sec_top_gappers	+1.8%	+0.8%	—
2026-10-29	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.8%	+0.8%	—
2026-10-26	sec_top_gappers	+0.7%	+0.5%	—
2026-10-26	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.7%	+0.5%	—
2026-10-23	sec_top_gappers	+1.8%	+1.5%	—
2026-10-23	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.8%	+1.5%	—
2026-10-15	sec_clean_gappers	+2.5%	+1.9%	✓ hit
2026-10-15	sec_top_gappers	+2.5%	+1.9%	✓ hit
2026-10-15	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.5%	+1.9%	✓ hit
2026-09-16	sec_clean_gappers	+0.3%	-1.4%	—
2026-09-16	sec_top_gappers	+0.3%	-1.4%	—
2026-09-16	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.3%	-1.4%	—

Lifetime: 3/12 wins · hit-rate 25.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

TAPvia staples · score 9
CHSNvia staples · score 5
VCTRvia financials · score 19
FCPTvia financials · score 15
HYFMvia consumer · score 8
LCIIvia consumer · score 8

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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