What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for HGV?

As of 2026-11-06, HGV has a convergence score of -25 with conviction tier AVOID and 8 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is HGV's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on HGV?

On the last 4 published picks featuring HGV, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (100% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

HGV — Catalyst score -25 (AVOID) · consumer

$HGV

consumer · convergence -25 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-25

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/4

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Why $HGV?

HGV -25 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $1.36B (+7.3% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $12.0M (-52.0% YoY)
Net Margin (CY2026Q3): 14.8%

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: finra_short, contract, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_bls_employment

Risks

Auditor change / restatement: non_reliance on

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

HUM via financials r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 24)
ACRE via financials r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 18)
AMR via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 27)
SLVM via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 14)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.95 sympathetic (score -1)
OMH via real_estate r=+0.95 sympathetic (score -7)

Signals Firing

finra_shortcontractaudit_extrasauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_bls_employmentauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-30	sec_top_gappers	+7.9%	+6.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	+7.9%	+6.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-29	sec_top_gappers	+8.0%	+7.6%	✓ hit
2026-10-29	sec_top_moat_emerging	+8.0%	+7.6%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 4/4 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

HUMvia financials · score 24
ACREvia financials · score 18
AMRvia materials · score 27
SLVMvia materials · score 14
AEIvia real_estate · score -1
OMHvia real_estate · score -7

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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