Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · HII
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$HII

defense · convergence -4 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
-4
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
5
Track Record
5/7
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Why $HII?

HII -4 WATCH defense

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $3.42B (+10.9% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $208.0M (+36.8% YoY)
  • Net Margin (CY2026Q3): 6.1%

Catalysts

  • Corporate action: spinoff 2026-10-20

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-4 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, defense-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • LMT via defense r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 2)
  • BA via defense r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -1)
  • LDOS via defense r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -4)
  • RTX via defense r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -4)
  • NOC via defense r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -7)
  • GD via defense r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -8)

Signals Firing

orphan_leanaudit_extrasauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-29sec_top_gappers+2.0%+0.2%✓ hit
2026-10-29sec_top_moat_emerging+2.0%+0.2%✓ hit
2026-10-20sec_clean_gappers+2.6%+0.6%✓ hit
2026-10-20sec_top_gappers+2.6%+0.6%✓ hit
2026-10-20sec_top_moat_emerging+2.6%+0.6%✓ hit
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+0.3%-0.2%—
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+0.3%-0.2%—
Lifetime: 5/7 wins · hit-rate 71.4% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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