Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · HLNCF
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$HLNCF

materials · convergence -11 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-11
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
5
Track Record
4/20
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Why $HLNCF?

HLNCF -11 AVOID materials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -11 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_eia_petroleum, auto_macro_nasa_power, auto_macro_ofac_sanctions, auto_macro_term_premium

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-11 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, materials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 15)
  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 13)
  • DINO via energy r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 14)
  • BZ via energy r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 3)
  • NFE via utilities r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 53)
  • OPTT via utilities r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 26)

Signals Firing

auto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_term_premium
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-01sec_top_gappers+1.2%+1.2%
2026-09-01sec_top_moat_emerging+1.2%+1.2%
2026-08-25sec_top_gappers+0.0%+0.0%
2026-08-25sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%+0.0%
2026-08-24sec_top_gappers-2.3%-2.3%
2026-08-24sec_top_moat_emerging-2.3%-2.3%
2026-08-21sec_top_gappers+7.9%+7.9%✓ hit
2026-08-21sec_top_moat_emerging+7.9%+7.9%✓ hit
2026-08-19sec_top_gappers+0.0%+0.0%
2026-08-19sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%+0.0%
2026-08-17sec_top_gappers-1.3%-1.3%
2026-08-17sec_top_moat_emerging-1.3%-1.3%
Lifetime: 4/20 wins · hit-rate 20.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for HLNCF. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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