Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · IBG
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-06

$IBG

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
Convergence Score
—
Conviction
—
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
4/12
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Why $IBG?

IBG -16 AVOID staples

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -16 (4 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: fed_overlay, auto_macro_nasa_power, auto_macro_ofac_sanctions, auto_macro_yield_curve

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-16 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, staples-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • BKV via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 29)
  • WTTR via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 23)
  • ONDS via comms r=-0.80 divergent (score 27)
  • CHTR via comms r=-0.80 divergent (score 12)
  • IEP via energy r=-0.71 divergent (score 3)
  • TSOL via energy r=-0.71 divergent (score -2)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-25sec_top_gappers+4.7%-2.1%✓ hit
2026-09-25sec_top_moat_emerging+4.7%-2.1%✓ hit
2026-09-22sec_top_gappers+1.0%-1.0%—
2026-09-22sec_top_moat_emerging+1.0%-1.0%—
2026-09-21sec_top_gappers+7.6%+5.5%✓ hit
2026-09-21sec_top_moat_emerging+7.6%+5.5%✓ hit
2026-09-18sec_top_gappers-3.1%-9.9%—
2026-09-18sec_top_moat_emerging-3.1%-9.9%—
2026-09-17sec_top_gappers+0.0%-1.9%—
2026-09-17sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-1.9%—
2026-09-16sec_top_gappers+1.0%-1.9%—
2026-09-16sec_top_moat_emerging+1.0%-1.9%—
Lifetime: 4/12 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.7% of the time across 405 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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