What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for IBM?

As of 2026-11-05, IBM has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is IBM's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on IBM?

On the last 12 published picks featuring IBM, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (17% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · IBM

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$IBM

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/12

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Why $IBM?

IBM -12 AVOID tech

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $17.16B (+109.0% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $2.17B (-132.0% YoY)
Net Margin (CY2026Q3): 12.8%

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: github, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates, auto_macro_options_gex

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-12 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, tech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

SHLS via semis r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 36)
ARRY via semis r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 28)
STIM via biotech r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 46)
CRIS via biotech r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 34)
NYT via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 27)
CHTR via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 23)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-11-03	sec_top_gappers	+3.4%	+1.7%	✓ hit
2026-11-03	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.4%	+1.7%	✓ hit
2026-11-02	sec_top_gappers	-0.6%	-1.0%	—
2026-11-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	-0.6%	-1.0%	—
2026-10-23	sec_top_gappers	+1.0%	-0.0%	—
2026-10-23	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.0%	-0.0%	—
2026-10-22	sec_top_gappers	+1.0%	+0.6%	—
2026-10-22	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.0%	+0.6%	—
2026-10-21	sec_top_gappers	+1.9%	+0.3%	—
2026-10-21	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.9%	+0.3%	—
2026-10-01	sec_top_gappers	+0.1%	-1.3%	—
2026-10-01	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.1%	-1.3%	—

Lifetime: 2/12 wins · hit-rate 16.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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