What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for IFED?

As of 2026-11-05, IFED has a convergence score of -11 with conviction tier AVOID and 6 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is IFED's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on IFED?

On the last 28 published picks featuring IFED, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (7% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · IFED

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$IFED

financials · convergence -11 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-11

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/28

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Why $IFED?

IFED -11 AVOID financials

Quantitative

Convergence score: -11 (6 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: alpha, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-11 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

HYFM via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
LCII via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
ARIS via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 22)
MUR via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 19)

Finance Desk Verdict

Independent agent review — valuation, statement audit, and earnings read on the latest filing.

Valuation: unclearAudit: cautionDesk score: 14/100

IFED is a UBS AG structured note in a supply-event 6-K filing — not an operating-company catalyst — trading at its 90-day low with no news coverage, unknown underlying mechanics, and a new-issuance overhang; not actionable without the prospectus supplement.

Bull case: If IFED tracks a rate-sensitive or volatility index that is now at or near a trough (consistent with the 90-day low price), and if the underlying index reverts, the 20% gap from $44 back toward $55 could close. UBS credit quality is high, so counterparty risk is minimal for near-term holders.

Bear case: New supply issuance into a falling price is a negative technical signal — it implies UBS sees demand at current levels, but it also adds float. If the underlying index continues in the same direction that drove the $55 → $44 move, the note has further downside with no floor other than zero (leveraged/inverse structures can go to near-zero). Additionally, zero news coverage and zero external momentum signal (news_score: 0, momentum_score: 26) suggest the market has little interest in this instrument right now.

Signals Firing

alphafed_overlaysector_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

6-K2026-11-04T17:29:06-05:00View on EDGAR →
424B22026-11-03T15:59:42-05:00View on EDGAR →

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-11-02	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	+0.0%	—
2026-11-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.0%	+0.0%	—
2026-10-29	sec_top_gappers	+2.8%	+2.8%	✓ hit
2026-10-29	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.8%	+2.8%	✓ hit
2026-10-27	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	+0.0%	—
2026-10-27	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.0%	+0.0%	—
2026-10-19	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	+0.0%	—
2026-10-19	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.0%	+0.0%	—
2026-10-08	sec_top_gappers	+1.4%	+1.4%	—
2026-10-08	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.4%	+1.4%	—
2026-10-06	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	+0.0%	—
2026-10-06	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.0%	+0.0%	—

Lifetime: 2/28 wins · hit-rate 7.1% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

HYFMvia consumer · score 8
LCIIvia consumer · score 8
AEIvia real_estate · score 1
OPENvia real_estate · score 1
ARISvia materials · score 22
MURvia materials · score 19

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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