CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$IOT
tech · convergence -12 · conviction AVOID
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Why $IOT?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $16.2M (+196.7% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: finra_short, xbrl_ni, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-12 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
DIOD via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 11)
ARRY via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 9)
CRIS via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 26)
LMAT via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 20)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 16)
CHTR via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 7)
Signals Firing
finra_short xbrl_ni auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-09-15 sec_top_gappers +2.9% -2.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.9% -2.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-14 sec_top_gappers +0.6% -2.9% — 2026-09-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.6% -2.9% — 2026-09-10 sec_top_gappers +2.4% -0.2% ✓ hit 2026-09-10 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.4% -0.2% ✓ hit 2026-09-09 sec_top_gappers +2.8% -0.5% ✓ hit 2026-09-09 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.8% -0.5% ✓ hit 2026-09-08 sec_top_gappers -1.4% -3.7% — 2026-09-08 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.4% -3.7% —
Lifetime: 6/10 wins · hit-rate 60.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket DIOD via semis · score 11 ARRY via semis · score 9 CRIS via biotech · score 26 LMAT via biotech · score 20 LBTYA via comms · score 16 CHTR via comms · score 7
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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