Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · KMT
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$KMT

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
10/12
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Why $KMT?

KMT 4 WATCH industrials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: 4 (6 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: auto_sec_divest, auto_macro_13f_whales, auto_macro_eia_petroleum, auto_macro_sec_proxy_fight, auto_macro_term_premium

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (4 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, industrials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • MRVL via semis r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 21)
  • PENG via semis r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 21)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 46)
  • TACT via tech r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 38)
  • ONDS via comms r=-0.84 divergent (score 36)
  • PAAI via comms r=-0.84 divergent (score 27)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-16sec_top_gappers+2.1%+0.5%✓ hit
2026-09-16sec_top_moat_emerging+2.1%+0.5%✓ hit
2026-09-15sec_top_gappers+2.2%+1.3%✓ hit
2026-09-15sec_top_moat_emerging+2.2%+1.3%✓ hit
2026-08-14sec_top_gappers+2.0%+1.9%
2026-08-14sec_top_moat_emerging+2.0%+1.9%
2026-08-13sec_top_gappers+3.5%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-08-13sec_top_moat_emerging+3.5%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-08-03sec_top_gappers+4.3%+3.3%✓ hit
2026-08-03sec_top_moat_emerging+4.3%+3.3%✓ hit
2026-07-31sec_top_gappers+4.0%+2.7%✓ hit
2026-07-31sec_top_moat_emerging+4.0%+2.7%✓ hit
Lifetime: 10/12 wins · hit-rate 83.3% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for KMT. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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