CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$KO
staples · convergence -15 · conviction AVOID
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Why $KO?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $13.38B (+6.7% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $4.42B (+16.1% YoY)
Net Margin (CY2026Q3) : 30.0%
Catalysts
Deal terms : milestone_payment 2026-10-27
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
AMR via materials r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 27)
SLVM via materials r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 14)
VST via utilities r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 10)
NRG via utilities r=+0.85 sympathetic (score -1)
HUM via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 24)
ACRE via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 18)
Signals Firing
reddit finra_short congress oge_exec fed_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-28 sec_top_gappers +1.6% +1.2% — 2026-10-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.6% +1.2% — 2026-09-25 sec_top_gappers -0.1% -0.7% — 2026-09-25 sec_top_moat_emerging -0.1% -0.7% — 2026-09-24 sec_top_gappers +0.2% -0.3% — 2026-09-24 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.2% -0.3% — 2026-09-23 sec_top_gappers +1.4% +0.0% — 2026-09-23 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.4% +0.0% — 2026-09-22 sec_top_gappers +0.4% -0.6% — 2026-09-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.4% -0.6% —
Lifetime: 0/10 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket AMR via materials · score 27 SLVM via materials · score 14 VST via utilities · score 10 NRG via utilities · score -1 HUM via financials · score 24 ACRE via financials · score 18
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