What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for KPTI?

As of 2026-09-18, KPTI has a convergence score of 39 with conviction tier HIGH and 14 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is KPTI's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on KPTI?

On the last 4 published picks featuring KPTI, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (100% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · KPTI

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$KPTI

biotech · convergence 39 · conviction HIGH

Convergence Score

Conviction

HIGH

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/4

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Why $KPTI?

KPTI 39 HIGH biotech

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-67.0M (-79.9% YoY)

Catalysts

Deal terms: royalty_agreement 2026-09-11
Deal terms: royalty_agreement 2026-09-11

Risks

Auditor change / restatement: going_concern on

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

REZI via consumer r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 53)
RENT via consumer r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 45)
NFE via utilities r=+0.71 sympathetic (score 61)
OPTT via utilities r=+0.71 sympathetic (score 36)
HAIN via staples r=+0.64 sympathetic (score 26)
RAKR via staples r=+0.64 sympathetic (score 23)

Signals Firing

biotechsec_fdapillauto_edgar_fulltextauto_sec_auditauto_sec_bankingauto_sec_divestauto_sec_poison_pillauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-08-13	sec_top_gappers	+3.5%	+1.5%	✓ hit
2026-08-13	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.5%	+1.5%	✓ hit
2026-07-31	sec_top_gappers	+6.8%	+2.6%	✓ hit
2026-07-31	sec_top_moat_emerging	+6.8%	+2.6%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 4/4 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

REZIvia consumer · score 53
RENTvia consumer · score 45
NFEvia utilities · score 61
OPTTvia utilities · score 36
HAINvia staples · score 26
RAKRvia staples · score 23

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for KPTI. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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