Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · LCID
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03

$LCID

consumer · convergence 7 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
7
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
9
Track Record
3/8
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Why $LCID?

LCID 7 WATCH consumer

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-1.03B (-91.8% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, finra_regsho, oge_exec, ftd

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
  • Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • IMSR via energy r=-0.95 divergent (score 9)
  • DK via energy r=-0.95 divergent (score 8)
  • CHRD via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 22)
  • MTUS via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 20)
  • TWIN via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 25)
  • AEHR via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 22)

Signals Firing

earningsfinra_shortfinra_regshooge_execftdauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-09sec_clean_gappers-1.1%-9.4%—
2026-10-09sec_top_gappers-1.1%-9.4%—
2026-10-09sec_top_moat_emerging-1.1%-9.4%—
2026-10-05sec_clean_gappers+3.8%-0.2%✓ hit
2026-10-05sec_top_gappers+3.8%-0.2%✓ hit
2026-10-05sec_top_moat_emerging+3.8%-0.2%✓ hit
2026-09-11sec_top_gappers+0.5%-1.4%—
2026-09-11sec_top_moat_emerging+0.5%-1.4%—
Lifetime: 3/8 wins · hit-rate 37.5% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for LCID. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 44.0% of the time across 414 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.4%. That is a +5.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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