Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · LWAY
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$LWAY

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
2/4
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Why $LWAY?

LWAY -22 AVOID staples

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q1): $4.7M (+32.0% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: fed_overlay, auto_macro_mta_ridership, auto_macro_nbp_fx, auto_macro_ofr_fsi, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-22 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, staples-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • TE via semis r=-0.84 divergent (score -1)
  • ARRY via semis r=-0.84 divergent (score -7)
  • BJ via consumer r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 22)
  • PCLA via consumer r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 7)
  • PCOR via tech r=-0.80 divergent (score 5)
  • GYGY via tech r=-0.80 divergent (score 4)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-02sec_top_gappers+0.6%-2.0%
2026-09-02sec_top_moat_emerging+0.6%-2.0%
2026-08-13sec_top_gappers+8.5%+4.5%✓ hit
2026-08-13sec_top_moat_emerging+8.5%+4.5%✓ hit
Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for LWAY. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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