What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for M?

As of 2026-09-24, M has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is M's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on M?

On the last 6 published picks featuring M, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (67% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · M

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$M

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/6

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Why $M?

M -4 WATCH consumer

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $5.06B (+120.0% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $169.0M (+94.2% YoY)
Net Margin (CY2026Q2): 3.3%

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: finra_short, finra_regsho, xbrl_ni, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_eia_petroleum

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

CMCL via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 12)
TRX via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 10)
AGNT via real_estate r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 11)
CSUI via real_estate r=+0.81 sympathetic (score -2)
HAIN via staples r=+0.73 sympathetic (score 28)
HCMC via staples r=+0.73 sympathetic (score 2)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-14	sec_top_gappers	-0.4%	-2.2%	—
2026-09-14	sec_top_moat_emerging	-0.4%	-2.2%	—
2026-09-11	sec_top_gappers	+5.0%	+2.3%	✓ hit
2026-09-11	sec_top_moat_emerging	+5.0%	+2.3%	✓ hit
2026-09-10	sec_top_gappers	+7.9%	+7.7%	✓ hit
2026-09-10	sec_top_moat_emerging	+7.9%	+7.7%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 4/6 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for M. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.3% of the time across 344 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.4%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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