Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · MGLD
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-28

$MGLD

financials · convergence 33 · conviction ELEVATED
Convergence Score
33
Conviction
ELEVATED
Signals Firing
14
Track Record
3/9
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Why $MGLD?

MGLD 33 ELEVATED financials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: 33 (14 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 14 convergent signals fired: merger, alpha, av, gap, fed_overlay

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction ELEVATED (33 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • AA via materials r=-0.72 divergent (score 35)
  • BKV via materials r=-0.72 divergent (score 29)
  • VYLR via staples r=-0.56 divergent (score 26)
  • FAMI via staples r=-0.56 divergent (score 20)

Signals Firing

mergeralphaavgapfed_overlayaudit_extrassector_overlayauto_edgar_fulltextauto_sec_divestauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-24sec_clean_gappers+96.0%+93.0%✓ hit
2026-09-24sec_top_gappers+96.0%+93.0%✓ hit
2026-09-24sec_top_moat_emerging+96.0%+93.0%✓ hit
2026-09-22sec_top_gappers+1.0%+0.0%—
2026-09-22sec_top_moat_emerging+1.0%+0.0%—
2026-09-21sec_top_gappers-0.5%-2.5%—
2026-09-21sec_top_moat_emerging-0.5%-2.5%—
2026-09-18sec_top_gappers-6.6%-7.1%—
2026-09-18sec_top_moat_emerging-6.6%-7.1%—
Lifetime: 3/9 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for MGLD. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

$99 once — every ticker on this site ranked before the open.

Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.1% of the time across 343 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.2%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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