CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$MOBX Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
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Why $MOBX?
Quantitative
Short scanner score : 8 (2 signals · 3 bearish forms YoY)
Catalysts
Dilution / supply forms : Recent SEC filings: 424B3 — bearish supply signalShort scanner signals : 424B3 (+4)Recency : Last bearish filing 1353 minutes agoSEC filing link : https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1855467/000149315226048140/0001493152-26-048140-index.htm
Risks
Squeeze risk : Short positions exposed to overnight gap-up squeezesHard-to-borrow tail : Bearish setups on RegSHO threshold names face borrow-rate spikes and recall risk
Bear case
Bullish surprise (short-thesis failure) : Issuer announcement could reverse the supply narrative overnightSector rotation tailwind : Sector group bid in a risk-on day means even weak names rally — short timing matters
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
TENB via tech r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 32) CTVA via materials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 31) DK via energy r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 24) SKYD via comms r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 24) AXP via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 21) MOD via consumer r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 20)
Signals Firing
No active signals this cycle.
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-20 sec_top_gappers +3.8% -1.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.8% -1.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_clean_gappers +2.7% -1.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_gappers +2.7% -1.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.7% -1.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +11.4% +10.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +11.4% +10.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-13 sec_top_gappers -0.3% -1.1% — 2026-10-13 sec_top_moat_emerging -0.3% -1.1% — 2026-10-12 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -4.1% — 2026-10-12 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -4.1% — 2026-09-15 sec_top_gappers +2.5% +0.5% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 9/13 wins · hit-rate 69.2% on +2% intraday
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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