CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$MOD
consumer · convergence 8 · conviction WATCH
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Why $MOD?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $73.9M (+44.3% YoY)
Catalysts
Corporate action : spinoff 2026-11-03
Corporate action : spinoff 2026-10-07
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
VCTR via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
FCPT via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 15)
CVI via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 12)
DK via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 3)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 1)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 1)
Signals Firing
pill gamma audit_extras auto_sec_poison_pill auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-15 sec_top_gappers +0.4% -3.3% — 2026-10-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.4% -3.3% — 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers -2.3% -2.4% — 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging -2.3% -2.4% — 2026-10-13 sec_top_gappers -0.8% -8.6% — 2026-10-13 sec_top_moat_emerging -0.8% -8.6% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_gappers +0.4% -5.0% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.4% -5.0% — 2026-10-08 sec_top_gappers +2.0% -0.2% — 2026-10-08 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.0% -0.2% — 2026-10-07 sec_top_gappers -1.1% -4.0% — 2026-10-07 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.1% -4.0% —
Lifetime: 2/14 wins · hit-rate 14.3% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket VCTR via financials · score 19 FCPT via financials · score 15 CVI via energy · score 12 DK via energy · score 3 AEI via real_estate · score 1 OPEN via real_estate · score 1
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.