What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for MRCY?

As of 2026-10-08, MRCY has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is MRCY's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on MRCY?

On the last 12 published picks featuring MRCY, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (17% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · MRCY

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$MRCY

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/12

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Why $MRCY?

MRCY -10 AVOID semis

Quantitative

Convergence score: -10 (6 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: auto_edgar_fulltext, auto_sec_crisis, auto_setup_classifier, auto_macro_nasa_power, auto_macro_ofac_sanctions

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-10 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, semis-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

TENB via tech r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 26)
IPDN via tech r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 21)
IEP via energy r=-0.88 divergent (score 3)
TSOL via energy r=-0.88 divergent (score -2)
ADIG via consumer r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 24)
OLOX via consumer r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 18)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-23	sec_top_gappers	+1.0%	+0.6%	—
2026-09-23	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.0%	+0.6%	—
2026-09-21	sec_top_gappers	+1.3%	-2.1%	—
2026-09-21	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.3%	-2.1%	—
2026-09-17	sec_top_gappers	+0.9%	-1.0%	—
2026-09-17	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.9%	-1.0%	—
2026-08-20	sec_top_gappers	+1.9%	-3.0%	—
2026-08-20	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.9%	-3.0%	—
2026-08-19	sec_top_gappers	-1.3%	-6.9%	—
2026-08-19	sec_top_moat_emerging	-1.3%	-6.9%	—
2026-08-18	sec_top_gappers	+3.4%	-3.6%	✓ hit
2026-08-18	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.4%	-3.6%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 2/12 wins · hit-rate 16.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for MRCY. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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