Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · MTG
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$MTG

financials · convergence -7 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
-7
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
6
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Why $MTG?

MTG -7 WATCH financials

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $295.4M (-291.0% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $182.1M (-5.4% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: finra_short, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-7 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • HYFM via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
  • LCII via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
  • ARIS via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 22)
  • MUR via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 19)

Signals Firing

finra_shortfed_overlaysector_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for MTG. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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