Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · MU
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03

$MU

semis · convergence 9 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
9
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
8
Track Record
3/11
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Why $MU?

MU 9 WATCH semis

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $28.24B (n/a YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: reddit, orphan_lean, congress, oge_exec, auto_macro_adp_payrolls

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (9 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, semis-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • PCOR via tech r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 22)
  • UPWK via tech r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 20)
  • VKTX via biotech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 23)
  • IDXX via biotech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 22)
  • KDP via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 23)
  • TAP via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 23)

Signals Firing

redditorphan_leancongressoge_execauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-14sec_top_gappers+1.9%+1.9%—
2026-10-14sec_top_moat_emerging+1.9%+1.9%—
2026-10-13sec_top_gappers-0.4%-4.1%—
2026-10-13sec_top_moat_emerging-0.4%-4.1%—
2026-10-12sec_top_gappers-3.6%-3.6%—
2026-10-12sec_top_moat_emerging-3.6%-3.6%—
2026-10-09sec_top_gappers-2.6%-3.9%—
2026-10-09sec_top_moat_emerging-2.6%-3.9%—
2026-09-30sec_clean_gappers+3.2%+3.0%✓ hit
2026-09-30sec_top_gappers+3.2%+3.0%✓ hit
2026-09-30sec_top_moat_emerging+3.2%+3.0%✓ hit
Lifetime: 3/11 wins · hit-rate 27.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for MU. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 44.0% of the time across 414 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.4%. That is a +5.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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