Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · NIKI
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-20

$NIKI

biotech · convergence -21 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-21
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
9/17
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Why $NIKI?

NIKI -21 AVOID biotech

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -21 (4 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: sec_fda, auto_sec_audit, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_swpc_forecast

Risks

  • Auditor change / restatement: valuation_allowance on

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • DK via energy r=-0.96 divergent (score 8)
  • GEVO via energy r=-0.96 divergent (score -15)
  • NFE via utilities r=-0.86 divergent (score 15)
  • EVRG via utilities r=-0.86 divergent (score -3)
  • MOD via consumer r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 15)
  • PAG via consumer r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 9)

Signals Firing

sec_fdaauto_sec_auditauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_swpc_forecast
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-13sec_clean_gappers+1.0%-18.3%—
2026-10-13sec_top_gappers+1.0%-18.3%—
2026-10-13sec_top_moat_emerging+1.0%-18.3%—
2026-10-12sec_top_gappers+6.6%-13.1%✓ hit
2026-10-12sec_top_moat_emerging+6.6%-13.1%✓ hit
2026-09-04sec_clean_gappers+4.8%+1.3%✓ hit
2026-09-04sec_top_gappers+4.8%+1.3%✓ hit
2026-09-04sec_top_moat_emerging+4.8%+1.3%✓ hit
2026-09-01sec_top_gappers+10.1%-0.2%✓ hit
2026-09-01sec_top_moat_emerging+10.1%-0.2%✓ hit
2026-08-25sec_top_gappers-0.3%-0.8%—
2026-08-25sec_top_moat_emerging-0.3%-0.8%—
Lifetime: 9/17 wins · hit-rate 52.9% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for NIKI. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.4% of the time across 447 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 37.9%. That is a +9.5 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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