Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · NVDA
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03

$NVDA

semis · convergence 18 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
18
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
13
Track Record
0/2
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Why $NVDA?

NVDA 18 WATCH semis

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $96.22B (+105.8% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $59.69B (+125.9% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 13 convergent signals fired: reddit, stocktwits, github, orphan_lean, xbrl_ni

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (18 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, semis-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • UPWK via tech r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 19)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 16)
  • VKTX via biotech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 22)
  • IDXX via biotech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 21)
  • TAP via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 16)
  • BGS via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 11)

Signals Firing

redditstocktwitsgithuborphan_leanxbrl_nicongressoge_execgammaliquidityauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-23sec_top_gappers-0.3%-0.4%—
2026-09-23sec_top_moat_emerging-0.3%-0.4%—
Lifetime: 0/2 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for NVDA. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 44.0% of the time across 414 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.4%. That is a +5.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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