Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · NVTS
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$NVTS

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
4/11
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Why $NVTS?

NVTS -18 AVOID semis

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -18 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Deal terms: milestone_payment 2026-08-25
  • Deal terms: earnout 2026-08-25

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-18 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, semis-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • CRWD via tech r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 8)
  • PLTR via tech r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 4)
  • DINO via energy r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 0)
  • PAA via energy r=+0.88 sympathetic (score -4)
  • SURG via comms r=-0.69 divergent (score 3)
  • TMGI via comms r=-0.69 divergent (score -3)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+1.7%-0.7%
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+1.7%-0.7%
2026-09-09sec_top_gappers-0.6%-3.9%
2026-09-09sec_top_moat_emerging-0.6%-3.9%
2026-08-04sec_top_gappers+2.1%-2.7%✓ hit
2026-08-04sec_top_moat_emerging+2.1%-2.7%✓ hit
2026-07-28sec_top_gappers+10.3%-2.7%✓ hit
2026-07-28sec_top_moat_emerging+10.3%-2.7%✓ hit
2026-07-27sec_clean_gappers-9.0%-12.3%
2026-07-27sec_top_gappers-9.0%-12.3%
2026-07-27sec_top_moat_emerging-9.0%-12.3%
Lifetime: 4/11 wins · hit-rate 36.4% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for NVTS. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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