What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for OLN?

As of 2026-11-05, OLN has a convergence score of 3 with conviction tier WATCH and 9 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is OLN's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on OLN?

On the last 4 published picks featuring OLN, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (50% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · OLN

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$OLN

materials · convergence 3 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/4

Quick tools:🃏 Swipe deck 🎯 Today verdict

Price & Live Quote

Loading live quote & chart…

Practice trade tools

Build a reference frame, save a practice trade, or preview a draft. No brokerage order is placed.

Paper trade unavailable: missing risk-bounded frame

Reference only. Not financial advice. No brokerage order is placed.

Why $OLN?

OLN 3 WATCH materials

Quantitative

Convergence score: 3 (9 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: squeeze, finra_short, sc13d, short, congress

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 15

Bear case

Crowded short: FINRA short volume + price-vs-short divergence both flagged — squeeze risk both ways

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

TAP via staples r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
WYHG via staples r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 10)
LMND via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 27)
PURR via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 24)
BROS via consumer r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 17)
FIGS via consumer r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 13)

Finance Desk Verdict

Independent agent review — valuation, statement audit, and earnings read on the latest filing.

Valuation: undervaluedAudit: cautionDesk score: 34/100

OLN is a cycle-trough chemical play with real upside if chlor-alkali spreads recover, but the 8-K's unreadable agreement and low momentum leave the near-term catalyst thesis unverifiable — wait for the EX-10.1 details before sizing.

Bull case: If the Material Definitive Agreement is a strategic partnership, long-term supply contract with pricing upside, or capacity rationalization deal, it could signal a chlor-alkali recovery setup at a time when the stock is near cycle lows. OLN has historically been a strong capital returner at mid-cycle; any inflection in chlorine/caustic pricing would produce significant operating leverage from depressed current levels.

Bear case: If the agreement is a credit facility amendment, covenant waiver, or debt refinancing under duress, it signals balance-sheet stress rather than strategic optionality. Chinese chlor-alkali capacity overhang remains unresolved. The stock's 90-day decline and low momentum score are consistent with continued earnings erosion, and a prolonged trough could force additional capacity curtailments, impairment charges, or equity dilution.

Signals Firing

squeezefinra_shortsc13dshortcongressoge_execauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

8-K2026-11-04T17:21:44-05:00View on EDGAR →

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-30	sec_top_gappers	+4.8%	+3.1%	✓ hit
2026-10-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	+4.8%	+3.1%	✓ hit
2026-10-28	sec_top_gappers	+1.9%	-2.6%	—
2026-10-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.9%	-2.6%	—

Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

TAPvia staples · score 19
WYHGvia staples · score 10
LMNDvia financials · score 27
PURRvia financials · score 24
BROSvia consumer · score 17
FIGSvia consumer · score 13

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for OLN. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

$99 once — every ticker on this site ranked before the open.

Review the methodology and limitations and the dated audit. An intraday price touch is not trading profit.

Click Become a Founding Member below.
Pay $99 once — not monthly, not ever again.
You keep every future release at that price. Tomorrow's ranked list lands at 3:30 AM ET, before the open.

Become a Founding Member — $99 once

One payment, access for as long as we run the service. The free daily picks stay free — this is for people who want the full console. Not buying today? Get tomorrow's ranked list free →

Optional product-learning preferences