CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$ONCO
biotech · convergence -3 · conviction WATCH
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Why $ONCO?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $17.1K (-83.9% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-2.9M (-20.9% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: earnings, regsho, finra_short, auto_edgar_fulltext, auto_lockup_calendar
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Reg SHO threshold list : On NASDAQ threshold list (2026-11-04)
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
APP via tech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 19)
STEM via tech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 19)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 16)
CHTR via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 7)
Signals Firing
earnings regsho finra_short auto_edgar_fulltext auto_lockup_calendar auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +42.7% +25.9% ✓ hit 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +42.7% +25.9% ✓ hit 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers +20.6% +19.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging +20.6% +19.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-23 sec_top_gappers +3.1% -4.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-23 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.1% -4.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-09 sec_top_gappers -3.1% -4.8% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_moat_emerging -3.1% -4.8% — 2026-10-08 sec_top_gappers -1.4% -5.2% — 2026-10-08 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.4% -5.2% — 2026-10-07 sec_top_gappers +43.6% +9.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-07 sec_top_moat_emerging +43.6% +9.5% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 20/26 wins · hit-rate 76.9% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket APP via tech · score 19 STEM via tech · score 19 LBTYA via comms · score 16 CHTR via comms · score 7
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.