CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$ONCY
biotech · convergence -5 · conviction WATCH
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Why $ONCY?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-9.4M (-78.9% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 7 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, biotech, sec_fda, auto_macro_adp_payrolls
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-5 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
APP via tech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 19)
STEM via tech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 19)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 16)
CHTR via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 7)
Signals Firing
earnings finra_short biotech sec_fda auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -4.3% — 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -4.3% — 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +9.3% +1.9% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +9.3% +1.9% ✓ hit 2026-10-08 sec_top_gappers +5.6% +3.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-08 sec_top_moat_emerging +5.6% +3.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-07 sec_top_gappers +1.7% -10.0% — 2026-10-07 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.7% -10.0% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers +1.7% +0.0% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.7% +0.0% — 2026-09-28 sec_top_gappers +3.0% +1.5% ✓ hit 2026-09-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.0% +1.5% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 6/14 wins · hit-rate 42.9% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket APP via tech · score 19 STEM via tech · score 19 LBTYA via comms · score 16 CHTR via comms · score 7
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.