Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · OPLN
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$OPLN

consumer · convergence -33 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-33
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
0/3
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Why $OPLN?

OPLN -33 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $554.6M (+15.1% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $44.3M (+32.6% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: sc13d, auto_macro_crypto_fear_greed, auto_macro_nbp_fx, auto_macro_yield_curve

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-33 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 5)
  • DE via industrials r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 2)
  • LRHC via real_estate r=+0.80 sympathetic (score -12)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.80 sympathetic (score -13)
  • NFE via utilities r=+0.71 sympathetic (score 19)
  • TLN via utilities r=+0.71 sympathetic (score -3)

Signals Firing

sc13dauto_macro_crypto_fear_greedauto_macro_nbp_fxauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-28sec_clean_gappers+0.3%-0.2%—
2026-09-28sec_top_gappers+0.3%-0.2%—
2026-09-28sec_top_moat_emerging+0.3%-0.2%—
Lifetime: 0/3 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for OPLN. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 46.8% of the time across 440 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.5%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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