CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-12
$OPTT
utilities · convergence 0 · conviction WATCH
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Why $OPTT?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $1.7M (+44.1% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-10.5M (-42.6% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 10 convergent signals fired: finra_short, gap, finra_regsho, pill, fed_overlay
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Auditor change / restatement : substantial_doubt on
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
FWONA via comms r=+0.98 sympathetic (score -1)
ESE via comms r=+0.98 sympathetic (score -4)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.95 sympathetic (score -3)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.95 sympathetic (score -5)
RETO via materials r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 6)
EPC via materials r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 3)
Signals Firing
finra_short gap finra_regsho pill fed_overlay audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-30 sec_top_gappers +2.4% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.4% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-09 sec_top_gappers -1.2% -17.6% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.2% -17.6% — 2026-10-08 sec_top_gappers +1.1% -5.6% — 2026-10-08 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.1% -5.6% — 2026-10-07 sec_top_gappers +3.1% -6.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-07 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.1% -6.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers +18.9% -9.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +18.9% -9.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-05 sec_top_gappers +37.5% +10.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +37.5% +10.4% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 14/26 wins · hit-rate 53.8% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket FWONA via comms · score -1 ESE via comms · score -4 OPEN via real_estate · score -3 AEI via real_estate · score -5 RETO via materials · score 6 EPC via materials · score 3
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