What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for ORLY?

As of 2026-11-04, ORLY has a convergence score of -8 with conviction tier WATCH and 6 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is ORLY's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on ORLY?

On the last 3 published picks featuring ORLY, 0 hit the +2% intraday threshold (0% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

ORLY — Catalyst score -8 (WATCH) · consumer

$ORLY

consumer · convergence -8 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

-8

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

0/3

Price & Live Quote

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Why $ORLY?

ORLY -8 WATCH consumer

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $715.1M (+7.0% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: finra_short, edgar_phrases, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

PURR via financials r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 29)
XMAX via financials r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 24)
CVI via energy r=-0.81 divergent (score 20)
ENB via energy r=-0.81 divergent (score 10)
OC via materials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 32)
SOLS via materials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 30)

Signals Firing

finra_shortedgar_phrasesauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_options_gex

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-01	sec_clean_gappers	+0.8%	-0.2%	—
2026-10-01	sec_top_gappers	+0.8%	-0.2%	—
2026-10-01	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.8%	-0.2%	—

Lifetime: 0/3 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

PURRvia financials · score 29
XMAXvia financials · score 24
CVIvia energy · score 20
ENBvia energy · score 10
OCvia materials · score 32
SOLSvia materials · score 30

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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