Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · OTEX
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-06

$OTEX

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
Convergence Score
—
Conviction
—
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
2/10
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Why $OTEX?

OTEX -18 AVOID tech

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -18 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: auto_sec_audit, auto_sec_cmgmt, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_term_premium, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 20
  • Auditor change / restatement: valuation_allowance on

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, tech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • SSM via semis r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 3)
  • SYNA via semis r=+0.82 sympathetic (score -2)
  • REZI via consumer r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 11)
  • TRUG via consumer r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 8)
  • KPTI via biotech r=-0.77 divergent (score 16)
  • CNSY via biotech r=-0.77 divergent (score 10)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-01sec_top_gappers+0.6%-0.8%—
2026-10-01sec_top_moat_emerging+0.6%-0.8%—
2026-09-24sec_top_gappers+0.6%-0.7%—
2026-09-24sec_top_moat_emerging+0.6%-0.7%—
2026-08-12sec_top_gappers+4.5%+3.9%✓ hit
2026-08-12sec_top_moat_emerging+4.5%+3.9%✓ hit
2026-08-10sec_top_gappers-0.2%-3.0%—
2026-08-10sec_top_moat_emerging-0.2%-3.0%—
2026-08-07sec_top_gappers+1.4%-0.9%—
2026-08-07sec_top_moat_emerging+1.4%-0.9%—
Lifetime: 2/10 wins · hit-rate 20.0% on +2% intraday

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for OTEX. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.7% of the time across 405 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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