Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · OTLK
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$OTLK

biotech · convergence 15 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
15
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
14
Track Record
8/10
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Why $OTLK?

OTLK 15 WATCH biotech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-20.3M (-83.0% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Deal terms: mfg_agreement 2026-08-12
  • Deal terms: licensing_agreement 2026-08-12
  • Unusual options activity: P/C ratio 0.05, gamma score 0 2026-09-21

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 11

Bear case

  • Crowded short: FINRA short volume + price-vs-short divergence both flagged — squeeze risk both ways

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • REZI via consumer r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 34)
  • OLOX via consumer r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 30)
  • NFE via utilities r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 53)
  • OPTT via utilities r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 26)
  • UTZ via staples r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 14)
  • KHC via staples r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 13)

Signals Firing

squeezefinra_shortshortcontractbiotechsec_fdaftdauto_sec_cmgmtauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_term_premium
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-27sec_top_gappers+2.8%+0.6%✓ hit
2026-08-27sec_top_moat_emerging+2.8%+0.6%✓ hit
2026-08-19sec_top_gappers+3.8%-2.0%✓ hit
2026-08-19sec_top_moat_emerging+3.8%-2.0%✓ hit
2026-08-18sec_top_gappers+2.6%-1.4%✓ hit
2026-08-18sec_top_moat_emerging+2.6%-1.4%✓ hit
2026-08-14sec_top_gappers+5.6%-11.1%✓ hit
2026-08-14sec_top_moat_emerging+5.6%-11.1%✓ hit
2026-07-24sec_top_gappers+1.1%-24.2%
2026-07-24sec_top_moat_emerging+1.1%-24.2%
Lifetime: 8/10 wins · hit-rate 80.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for OTLK. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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