CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$P
tech · convergence -2 · conviction WATCH
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Why $P?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $74.1M (+57.4% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, sc13d, xbrl_ni, audit_extras
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-2 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
DIOD via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 11)
ARRY via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 9)
CRIS via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 26)
LMAT via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 20)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 16)
CHTR via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 7)
Signals Firing
earnings finra_short sc13d xbrl_ni audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-09-14 sec_top_gappers +6.9% +3.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +6.9% +3.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-09 sec_top_gappers +0.1% -3.0% — 2026-09-09 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.1% -3.0% — 2026-09-08 sec_top_gappers +2.3% -4.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-08 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.3% -4.0% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 4/6 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket DIOD via semis · score 11 ARRY via semis · score 9 CRIS via biotech · score 26 LMAT via biotech · score 20 LBTYA via comms · score 16 CHTR via comms · score 7
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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