What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for PAVS?

As of 2026-09-24, PAVS has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is PAVS's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on PAVS?

On the last 10 published picks featuring PAVS, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (40% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · PAVS

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$PAVS

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/10

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Why $PAVS?

PAVS 6 ELEVATED

Quantitative

Short scanner score: 6 (1 signals · 1 bearish forms YoY)

Catalysts

Dilution / supply forms: Recent SEC filings: NT-20-F — bearish supply signal
Short scanner signals: NT-20-F (+6)

Risks

Squeeze risk: Short positions exposed to overnight gap-up squeezes
Hard-to-borrow tail: Bearish setups on RegSHO threshold names face borrow-rate spikes and recall risk

Bear case

Bullish surprise (short-thesis failure): Issuer announcement could reverse the supply narrative overnight
Sector rotation tailwind: Sector group bid in a risk-on day means even weak names rally — short timing matters

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

BYND via staples r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 20)
FNGR via tech r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 14)
GSHD via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 9)
UROY via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 8)
ESTC via tech r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 7)
ARI via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 7)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-08-18	sec_top_gappers	+1.7%	-6.3%	—
2026-08-18	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.7%	-6.3%	—
2026-08-17	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	-8.0%	—
2026-08-17	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.0%	-8.0%	—
2026-08-14	sec_top_gappers	-1.9%	-9.0%	—
2026-08-14	sec_top_moat_emerging	-1.9%	-9.0%	—
2026-08-04	sec_top_gappers	+3.3%	+0.2%	✓ hit
2026-08-04	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.3%	+0.2%	✓ hit
2026-08-03	sec_top_gappers	+4.9%	-0.4%	✓ hit
2026-08-03	sec_top_moat_emerging	+4.9%	-0.4%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 4/10 wins · hit-rate 40.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.5% of the time across 355 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.2%. That is a +8.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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