What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for PBF?

As of 2026-09-21, PBF has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is PBF's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on PBF?

On the last 8 published picks featuring PBF, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (50% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · PBF

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$PBF

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/8

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Why $PBF?

PBF 48 HIGH energy

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $906.4M (n/a YoY)

Catalysts

Unusual options activity: P/C ratio 0.22, gamma score 0 2026-09-17

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 12
Auditor change / restatement: non_reliance on

Bear case

Value-trap risk: DeepValue score 15 suggests cheap multiples — bear case if catalyst doesn't materialize
Crowded short: FINRA short volume + price-vs-short divergence both flagged — squeeze risk both ways

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

LXFR via materials r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 24)
MGY via materials r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 23)
HIVE via financials r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 36)
MAC via financials r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 35)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 12)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 12)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-17	sec_top_gappers	+1.7%	+0.0%	—
2026-09-17	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.7%	+0.0%	—
2026-09-15	sec_top_gappers	+3.3%	+1.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-15	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.3%	+1.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_gappers	+7.9%	+6.1%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_moat_emerging	+7.9%	+6.1%	✓ hit
2026-08-19	sec_top_gappers	+1.5%	-5.9%	—
2026-08-19	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.5%	-5.9%	—

Lifetime: 4/8 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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