Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · PGR
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$PGR

insurance · convergence 14 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
14
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
10
Track Record
0/2
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Why $PGR?

PGR 14 WATCH insurance

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $23.61B (+7.3% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $3.31B (+428.0% YoY)
  • Net Margin (CY2026Q2): 14.0%

Catalysts

  • Unusual options activity: P/C ratio 0.57, gamma score 0 2026-09-18

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (14 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, insurance-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • AIG via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 35)
  • CINF via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 18)
  • TRV via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 18)
  • MET via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 15)
  • ALL via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
  • PRU via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 12)

Signals Firing

smartorphan_leancongressoge_execauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-03sec_top_gappers+0.3%+0.1%
2026-08-03sec_top_moat_emerging+0.3%+0.1%
Lifetime: 0/2 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for PGR. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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