What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for PGR?

As of 2026-11-03, PGR has a convergence score of -1 with conviction tier WATCH and 7 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is PGR's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on PGR?

On the last 4 published picks featuring PGR, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (50% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

PGR — Catalyst score -1 (WATCH) · insurance

$PGR

insurance · convergence -1 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

-1

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/4

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Why $PGR?

PGR -1 WATCH insurance

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $23.61B (+7.3% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $3.31B (+428.0% YoY)
Net Margin (CY2026Q3): 11.0%

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: finra_short, orphan_lean, oge_exec, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

Macro headwind: Sector macro lean -1 — broader-tape pressure

Bear case

Macro sector overhang: Sector insurance carrying -1 macro lean from convergence engine

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

AIG via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
MET via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 8)
CINF via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 7)
PRU via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 7)
ALL via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 4)
HIG via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -1)

Signals Firing

finra_shortorphan_leanoge_execauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-14	sec_top_gappers	+3.8%	+0.1%	✓ hit
2026-10-14	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.8%	+0.1%	✓ hit
2026-09-18	sec_top_gappers	+1.0%	-0.6%	—
2026-09-18	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.0%	-0.6%	—

Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

AIGvia insurance · score 14
METvia insurance · score 8
CINFvia insurance · score 7
PRUvia insurance · score 7
ALLvia insurance · score 4
HIGvia insurance · score -1

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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