Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · RGLD
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$RGLD

financials · convergence -8 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
-8
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
6
Track Record
2/4
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Why $RGLD?

RGLD -8 WATCH financials

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $236.4M (+78.6% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: xbrl_ni, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 6

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • HYFM via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
  • LCII via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
  • ARIS via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 22)
  • MUR via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 19)

Signals Firing

xbrl_nifed_overlaysector_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-06sec_top_gappers-1.3%-2.8%—
2026-10-06sec_top_moat_emerging-1.3%-2.8%—
2026-09-08sec_top_gappers+2.4%+0.4%✓ hit
2026-09-08sec_top_moat_emerging+2.4%+0.4%✓ hit
Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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