Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · RL
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$RL

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
3/5
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Why $RL?

RL -26 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $1.96B (+14.0% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $262.2M (+19.0% YoY)
  • Net Margin (CY2026Q2): 13.4%

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_inflation_expectations, auto_macro_move_index, auto_macro_mta_ridership, auto_macro_swpc_forecast

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 12

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • ARI via financials r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 22)
  • UROY via financials r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 17)
  • SURG via comms r=+0.71 sympathetic (score 2)
  • PL via comms r=+0.71 sympathetic (score -1)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.68 sympathetic (score 22)
  • NET via tech r=+0.68 sympathetic (score 15)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-03sec_clean_gappers+2.4%+2.0%✓ hit
2026-09-03sec_top_gappers+2.4%+2.0%✓ hit
2026-09-03sec_top_moat_emerging+2.4%+2.0%✓ hit
2026-08-06sec_top_gappers+1.2%-0.1%
2026-08-06sec_top_moat_emerging+1.2%-0.1%
Lifetime: 3/5 wins · hit-rate 60.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for RL. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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