CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$RMCF
staples · convergence -19 · conviction AVOID
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Why $RMCF?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-1.2M (-260.5% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: edgar_phrases, fed_overlay, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_bls_employment
Risks
Late filing (NT) : Filed Form NT — accounting / control concern
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, staples-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
AMR via materials r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 27)
SLVM via materials r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 14)
VST via utilities r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 10)
NRG via utilities r=+0.85 sympathetic (score -1)
HUM via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 24)
ACRE via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 18)
Signals Firing
edgar_phrases fed_overlay audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-21 sec_top_gappers +5.6% +1.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +5.6% +1.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_gappers +2.2% -3.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.2% -3.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers +40.2% +10.9% ✓ hit 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +40.2% +10.9% ✓ hit 2026-09-22 sec_top_gappers +4.7% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.7% +0.0% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 8/8 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket AMR via materials · score 27 SLVM via materials · score 14 VST via utilities · score 10 NRG via utilities · score -1 HUM via financials · score 24 ACRE via financials · score 18
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