What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for RPGL?

As of 2026-11-05, RPGL has a convergence score of -27 with conviction tier AVOID and 3 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is RPGL's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on RPGL?

On the last 6 published picks featuring RPGL, 6 hit the +2% intraday threshold (100% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · RPGL

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$RPGL

tech · convergence -27 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-27

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

6/6

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Why $RPGL?

RPGL -27 AVOID tech

Quantitative

Convergence score: -27 (3 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 3 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-27 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, tech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

DIOD via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 11)
ARRY via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 9)
CRIS via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 26)
LMAT via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 20)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 16)
CHTR via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 7)

Finance Desk Verdict

Independent agent review — valuation, statement audit, and earnings read on the latest filing.

Valuation: overvaluedAudit: redDesk score: 9/100

RPGL is a Singapore software company in structural freefall (-94% in 180 days) that just filed an emergency PIPE agreement — the catalyst is a dilution event, not a growth signal; avoid.

Bull case: If the PIPE raises sufficient capital at reasonable terms, the company could stabilize its balance sheet and fund operations long enough to demonstrate software revenue. The post-low bounce from $6.08 to $12.90 (+112%) shows some speculative buying interest. If the actual SPA terms are equity-friendly (no variable conversion, no resets), and the company has real recurring software contracts, the stock could find a floor.

Bear case: The bear case is overwhelming: (1) a 93.7% drawdown in 180 days with no news coverage suggests structural collapse, not a temporary dip; (2) the PIPE/SPA is almost certainly dilutive and may contain variable-rate conversion terms that mechanically suppress the stock; (3) the name/SIC mismatch raises fraud or shell-company risk; (4) momentum score of only 26 and moat score of 0 confirm no durable competitive position is visible; (5) the October 14 crash from $46 to $15.49 occurred one day after the 90-day high and immediately before the SPA signing date, suggesting insiders or PIPE counterparties shorted or hedged ahead of the deal.

Signals Firing

auto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

6-K2026-11-04T17:28:51-05:00View on EDGAR →

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-11-03	sec_top_gappers	+24.9%	+19.4%	✓ hit
2026-11-03	sec_top_moat_emerging	+24.9%	+19.4%	✓ hit
2026-10-06	sec_top_gappers	+7.7%	+4.5%	✓ hit
2026-10-06	sec_top_moat_emerging	+7.7%	+4.5%	✓ hit
2026-10-05	sec_top_gappers	+10.3%	-0.3%	✓ hit
2026-10-05	sec_top_moat_emerging	+10.3%	-0.3%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 6/6 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

DIODvia semis · score 11
ARRYvia semis · score 9
CRISvia biotech · score 26
LMATvia biotech · score 20
LBTYAvia comms · score 16
CHTRvia comms · score 7

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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