CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09
$RYLBF
Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
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Why $RYLBF?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -19 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_bls_employment, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates, auto_macro_yield_curve
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-19 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, materials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
VST via utilities r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 10)
NRG via utilities r=+0.98 sympathetic (score -1)
TILE via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 20)
ATMU via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 15)
HUM via financials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 24)
ACRE via financials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 18)
Signals Firing
No active signals this cycle.
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-05 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-11-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-11-04 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-11-04 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-11-03 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -0.5% — 2026-11-03 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -0.5% — 2026-11-02 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-11-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-28 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% —
Lifetime: 0/28 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
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