What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for SBUX?

As of 2026-10-05, SBUX has a convergence score of -25 with conviction tier AVOID and 7 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is SBUX's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on SBUX?

On the last 2 published picks featuring SBUX, 0 hit the +2% intraday threshold (0% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · SBUX

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$SBUX

consumer · convergence -25 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-25

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

0/2

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Why $SBUX?

SBUX -25 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $9.32B (-141.0% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $1.05B (+87.2% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: finra_short, xbrl_ni, oge_exec, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_term_premium

Risks

Insider planned sale (Form 144): Filed: 2026-10-05 AccNo: 0001959173-26-007253 Size: 6 KB 2026-10-05

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

AEI via real_estate r=+0.85 sympathetic (score -8)
PDM via real_estate r=+0.85 sympathetic (score -9)
TTMI via semis r=+0.73 sympathetic (score 6)
TE via semis r=+0.73 sympathetic (score 2)
FAMI via staples r=+0.65 sympathetic (score -2)
ABEV via staples r=+0.65 sympathetic (score -11)

Signals Firing

finra_shortxbrl_nioge_execauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-24	sec_top_gappers	+1.4%	+1.3%	—
2026-09-24	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.4%	+1.3%	—

Lifetime: 0/2 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

AEIvia real_estate · score -8
PDMvia real_estate · score -9
TTMIvia semis · score 6
TEvia semis · score 2
FAMIvia staples · score -2
ABEVvia staples · score -11

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for SBUX. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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