Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · SHOE
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-15

$SHOE

consumer · convergence -25 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-25
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
8/8
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Why $SHOE?

SHOE -25 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $284.3M (-7.2% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $6.3M (-67.4% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: sc13d, audit_extras, auto_sec_divest, auto_macro_credit_spreads

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-25 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 10)
  • LGIH via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 7)
  • LRHC via real_estate r=+0.79 sympathetic (score -12)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.79 sympathetic (score -13)
  • TENB via tech r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 19)
  • BLZE via tech r=+0.77 sympathetic (score -5)

Signals Firing

sc13daudit_extrasauto_sec_divestauto_macro_credit_spreads
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-25sec_top_gappers+2.8%+1.6%✓ hit
2026-09-25sec_top_moat_emerging+2.8%+1.6%✓ hit
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+3.0%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+3.0%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-09-11sec_top_gappers+3.3%+1.6%✓ hit
2026-09-11sec_top_moat_emerging+3.3%+1.6%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_gappers+4.7%+3.5%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_moat_emerging+4.7%+3.5%✓ hit
Lifetime: 8/8 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for SHOE. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 46.8% of the time across 457 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.7%. That is a +8.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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