Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · SMCI
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$SMCI

tech · convergence 1 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
1
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
9
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Why $SMCI?

SMCI 1 WATCH tech

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: 1 (9 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: finra_short, oge_exec, split, auto_setup_classifier, auto_macro_edgar_fts

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • FTCI via semis r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 14)
  • PENG via semis r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 13)
  • MG via industrials r=+0.87 sympathetic (score 55)
  • RGR via industrials r=+0.87 sympathetic (score 30)
  • NFE via utilities r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 53)
  • OPTT via utilities r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 26)

Signals Firing

finra_shortoge_execsplitauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_term_premium
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for SMCI. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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