Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · SMG
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-06

$SMG

materials · convergence -37 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-37
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
3
Track Record
4/12
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Why $SMG?

SMG -37 AVOID materials

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $112.2M (-24.8% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Buyback authorization: Buyback authorization 2026-09-15

Risks

  • Financial restatement: 1 restatement filing(s); investor confidence risk

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • VYLR via staples r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 11)
  • FAMI via staples r=+0.90 sympathetic (score -12)
  • NTST via financials r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 8)
  • HSDT via financials r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 3)
  • IRDM via comms r=+0.74 sympathetic (score -1)
  • ONDS via comms r=+0.74 sympathetic (score -8)

Signals Firing

finra_shortbuybackauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-29sec_top_gappers+2.3%+1.2%✓ hit
2026-09-29sec_top_moat_emerging+2.3%+1.2%✓ hit
2026-09-28sec_top_gappers+2.3%+2.2%✓ hit
2026-09-28sec_top_moat_emerging+2.3%+2.2%✓ hit
2026-09-25sec_clean_gappers+0.4%-4.8%—
2026-09-25sec_top_gappers+0.4%-4.8%—
2026-09-25sec_top_moat_emerging+0.4%-4.8%—
2026-09-11sec_top_gappers+0.6%-1.0%—
2026-09-11sec_top_moat_emerging+0.6%-1.0%—
2026-09-03sec_clean_gappers+1.3%+0.3%—
2026-09-03sec_top_gappers+1.3%+0.3%—
2026-09-03sec_top_moat_emerging+1.3%+0.3%—
Lifetime: 4/12 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for SMG. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.7% of the time across 405 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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