What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for STWD?

As of 2026-09-24, STWD has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is STWD's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

STWD — Catalyst score — (—) · Unclassified

$STWD

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Price & Live Quote

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Why $STWD?

STWD -8 WATCH financials

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q1): $512.5M (+22.5% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q1): $51.9M (-53.8% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: finra_short, finra_regsho, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_move_index

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

BZ via energy r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 5)
DINO via energy r=+0.66 sympathetic (score -2)
KPTI via biotech r=-0.63 divergent (score 31)
BIVI via biotech r=-0.63 divergent (score 27)
YETI via consumer r=-0.56 divergent (score 39)
MSGS via consumer r=-0.56 divergent (score 13)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.3% of the time across 344 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.4%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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