CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$SYNA
semis · convergence -6 · conviction WATCH
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Why $SYNA?
Quantitative
Forward EPS estimate : $$0.38 (vs $$0.26 last yr YoY)
Market cap : $4,660,286,500
Convergence score : -6 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: earnings, m_proxy, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-6 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
APP via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 19)
STEM via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 19)
VSEC via industrials r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 23)
GNK via industrials r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 14)
TAP via staples r=-0.60 divergent (score 9)
CHSN via staples r=-0.60 divergent (score 5)
Signals Firing
earnings m_proxy auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-03 sec_top_gappers +0.6% +0.1% — 2026-11-03 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.6% +0.1% — 2026-10-20 sec_top_gappers +0.6% +0.0% — 2026-10-20 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.6% +0.0% — 2026-10-19 sec_top_gappers +0.9% +0.4% — 2026-10-19 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.9% +0.4% — 2026-10-15 sec_top_gappers +0.3% -0.3% — 2026-10-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.3% -0.3% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers +0.9% +0.1% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.9% +0.1% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_gappers +0.8% -0.3% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.8% -0.3% —
Lifetime: 4/20 wins · hit-rate 20.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket APP via tech · score 19 STEM via tech · score 19 VSEC via industrials · score 23 GNK via industrials · score 14 TAP via staples · score 9 CHSN via staples · score 5
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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