CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-12
$SYY
consumer · convergence -16 · conviction AVOID
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Why $SYY?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -16 (6 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 6 convergent signals fired: oge_exec, pill, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia, auto_macro_bls_employment
Risks
Auditor change / restatement : audit_opinion on
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
ONDS via comms r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 4)
FWONA via comms r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 2)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 0)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.94 sympathetic (score -2)
DPC via materials r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 14)
LAC via materials r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 12)
Signals Firing
oge_exec pill auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-08 sec_top_gappers +0.5% -0.1% — 2026-10-08 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.5% -0.1% — 2026-10-07 sec_top_gappers +2.9% +1.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-07 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.9% +1.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers +0.3% -0.9% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.3% -0.9% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_gappers +1.4% +1.4% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.4% +1.4% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers +0.2% -1.4% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.2% -1.4% — 2026-10-01 sec_top_gappers +0.3% -0.4% — 2026-10-01 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.3% -0.4% —
Lifetime: 2/18 wins · hit-rate 11.1% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket ONDS via comms · score 4 FWONA via comms · score 2 OPEN via real_estate · score 0 AEI via real_estate · score -2 DPC via materials · score 14 LAC via materials · score 12
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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